Tuesday, November 30, 2010
The Election are Over: What's Next?
...continued
Even if asset purchases lower interest rates, Baumhohl said, banks are still reluctant to lend and both businesses and consumers are still too nervous to take on more debt. So lowering rates feeds the risk of inflation down the road without solving the problem today. "We are following policies that unless changed will eventually lead to lots of inflation down the road," said Warren Buffettat Fortune's Most Powerful Women Summit. "We have started down a path you don't want to go down."
The government has two more years to show improvement to the economy or the House will not be the only thing that the Democrats will have to worry about in 2012.
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C. Cohn
The Cohn-Reilly Report
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Hedge Funds Dodge Tax Increase
The controversial tax increase was to target out-of-state fund managers, which could have lead to an exodus to nearby states, namely Connecticut.
NY State lawmakers did manage to finalized the $136 billion budget, approving a final piece of legislation that will raise about $1 billion through a array of tax hikes and other measures. These measures are anticipated to cover the over $9 billion in deficits. See News Flash Archive
Friday, October 8, 2010
The Great Net Neutrality Debate
Continuted......
extension he believes telecommunications firms are simply not ready for the era of ‘exabyte’ delivery and something needs to give.
What’s next? In a recent bill introduced in Congress, U.S. House Democrats failed to win Republican support needed for legislation giving regulators temporary authority over how companies led by Comcast Corp. and AT&T Inc. provide Web service, Representative Henry Waxman said. A measure that would let the U.S. Federal Communications Commission enforce net-neutrality rules for two years won’t be introduced immediately, Waxman, a California Democrat and chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, said on September 29, in an e-mailed statement. “This development is a loss for consumers and a gain only for the extremes,” Waxman said. “We need to break the deadlock on Net Neutrality.” The bill aimed to ensure the FCC has the power that was called into question when a U.S. court in April ruled it lacked authority over Internet-service providers. Republican leaders decided “there is not sufficient time to ensure that Chairman Waxman’s proposal will keep the Internet open without chilling innovation,” Representative Joe Barton of Texas, the top Republican on the committee, said in an e-mailed statement. Congress is to adjourn within days to campaign for the Nov. 2 elections. “It is not appropriate to give the FCC authority to regulate the Internet,” Barton said The bill may be introduced after the elections, Waxman said. The measure would restore the FCC’s authority to prevent the blocking of Internet content, bar phone and cable companies from unjustly or unreasonably discriminating against any lawful Internet traffic, and apply strictures to wireless providers, Waxman said.“Under our proposal, the FCC could begin enforcing these open Internet rules immediately, with maximum fines increased from $75,000 to $2,000,000 for violations,” Waxman said. FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski in September 2009 proposed rules aimed at ensuring net neutrality. He hasn’t sought a vote while the commission considers its reaction to the April court ruling.
Today’s development prompted renewed calls for Genachowski to proceed with his idea to claim power over Internet service using rules written for monopoly telephone service in the 20th century. AT&T and Verizon Communications Inc. oppose such action and say it may prompt more regulation, including price controls. Lawmakers and advocacy groups have urged Genachowski to proceed, saying customers need protection. Waxman’s bill would bar the FCC from using the phone rules during its two-year duration. “If our efforts to find bipartisan consensus fail, the FCC should move forward,” Waxman said.
Complete freedom of open access on the Internet or tiered payment approaches to stimulate corporate innovation.- you decide.
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C. Cohn
The Cohn-Reilly Report
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Wall St.: Surviving the Plunge
The SEC summoned a meeting of the Exchange CEOs to Washington. According to Bloomberg News, the CEO of the Exchanges met with SEC chairmen, Mary Schapiro, yesterday concerning a proposal to implement a short-term circuit breaker system in an effort to mitigate vast losses during investor panic situations. We know too well that during a volatile trading day as panic spreads the sell-off accelerates and the cycle of irrational trading begins.
The Washington pow-wow resulted in an agreement to develope a framework for “strengthening circuit breakers" and the handling of erroneous trades. Accordingly, the Exchange CEOs are faced with determining the point when trading should be temporarily halted during periods of extreme swings in either direction; gains or declines. Additionally, the Exchange officers were asked to examine steps for aligning the various trading rules to prevent the conflicting systems from aggravating market plunges. It's unfortunate, but crisis management seems to be the rage around the world. Nevertheless, at least from our standpoint, solutions are on the table for the future mitigation of panic driven plunges in the financial markets.
It would appear that the SEC is on track for improving our system of trading. Who knows, if the law makers are serious about Wall Street reform and tightening regulations for Wall Street, we may actually enhance investor protections. This will ultimately impact us all.
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K. Reilly
Cohn-Reilly Report
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Housing Market: Finding its Way Back
(Part 1)
It has been reported that over two trillion dollars in bad mortgages will never be repaid. As housing prices continued to fall, analysts speculate that recovery in the housing market may be nearly five years away. Investors are not likely to want mortgage-backed securities from Fannie Mae - particularly if their loans are risky. Therefore, days where banks blindly loaned to home buyers with low credit criteria are long gone. This is not exclusive to subprime loans. All mortgages will be difficult obtain for while.
Much like the Cash for Clunkers program, the housing program offering an $8,000 tax credit to First-Time Home Buyers, was a great success. Increased housing sales in 2009, may have initially created false hope that the market was on the rise. As it turns out, 80% of FHA mortgages were First-Time Home Buyers taking advantage of the tax incentive. We can expect that once the First-Time Home Buyers program expires, home sales will fizzle. The Spring season normally renews hope in the housing market as sales and home values tend to increase during this time. Unfortunately, the market is not illustrating any signs that this trend will be realized this spring season.
Part 1-of-2
- K. Reilly
Cohn-Reilly Report
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
Bankruptcies Spike in 2009: Wall St. and Main St.
For corporations, the story isn’t much different. In 2008 corporations filing for bankruptcy increased 74% over the previous year. To make matters worse, 2009 was also a horrific display of corporate carnage with 249 public corporations filing some form of bankruptcy. Eighteen percent of those companies who filed for bankruptcy did so as a pre-structured package. It’s likely that pre-structured bankruptcies are viewed less pessimistically by shareholders and creditors. So it should be no surprise that industry analysts and rating firms such as Moody’s and Standard and Poors view structured bankruptcies more positively as well. Therefore, public corporations see this as a proactive step toward damage control. It’s the corporate strategy that neutralizes negative perceptions, while buying time for them to dig out of the financial ditch. This also explains why structured bankruptcies spiked up 300% on the past 24 months.
Part 1 of 2
- K. Reilly
Cohn-Reilly Report / Articles